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2028 United States presidential election

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2028 United States presidential election

 2024
November 7, 2028
2032 

538 members of the Electoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
 
Party Republican Democratic

2028 United States presidential election in California2028 United States presidential election in Oregon2028 United States presidential election in Washington (state)2028 United States presidential election in Idaho2028 United States presidential election in Nevada2028 United States presidential election in Utah2028 United States presidential election in Arizona2028 United States presidential election in Montana2028 United States presidential election in Wyoming2028 United States presidential election in Colorado2028 United States presidential election in New Mexico2028 United States presidential election in North Dakota2028 United States presidential election in South Dakota2028 United States presidential election in Nebraska2028 United States presidential election in Kansas2028 United States presidential election in Oklahoma2028 United States presidential election in Texas2028 United States presidential election in Minnesota2028 United States presidential election in Iowa2028 United States presidential election in Missouri2028 United States presidential election in Arkansas2028 United States presidential election in Louisiana2028 United States presidential election in Wisconsin2028 United States presidential election in Illinois2028 United States presidential election in Michigan2028 United States presidential election in Indiana2028 United States presidential election in Ohio2028 United States presidential election in Kentucky2028 United States presidential election in Tennessee2028 United States presidential election in Mississippi2028 United States presidential election in Alabama2028 United States presidential election in Georgia2028 United States presidential election in Florida2028 United States presidential election in South Carolina2028 United States presidential election in North Carolina2028 United States presidential election in Virginia2028 United States presidential election in West Virginia2028 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2028 United States presidential election in Maryland2028 United States presidential election in Delaware2028 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania2028 United States presidential election in New Jersey2028 United States presidential election in New York2028 United States presidential election in Connecticut2028 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2028 United States presidential election in Vermont2028 United States presidential election in New Hampshire2028 United States presidential election in Maine2028 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2028 United States presidential election in Hawaii2028 United States presidential election in Alaska2028 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia2028 United States presidential election in Maryland2028 United States presidential election in Delaware2028 United States presidential election in New Jersey2028 United States presidential election in Connecticut2028 United States presidential election in Rhode Island2028 United States presidential election in Massachusetts2028 United States presidential election in Vermont2028 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
2028 electoral map, based on the results of the 2020 census

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in the United States on November 7, 2028, to elect the president and vice president for a term of four years. In the 2024 elections, the Republican Party retained its majority in the House of Representatives and gained control of the Senate. Former president Donald Trump won a nonconsecutive second term. Trump is ineligible to run for a third term, per the term limits established by the 22nd Amendment to the United States Constitution.

Background

Donald Trump, the incumbent president, whose non-consecutive second term will expire at noon on January 20, 2029

The Republican Party returned to power in the United States in January 2025 with a government trifecta—controlling the Senate, House of Representatives, and the presidency—following the 2024 elections. Donald Trump, who was elected president in 2016 before losing a re-election bid in 2020 to Joe Biden, defeated Vice President Kamala Harris, who immediately began her campaign following Biden's withdrawal from his re-election bid. Trump's victory was attributed to a post-pandemic surge in inflation,[a] and a migrant crisis at the US–Mexico border,[b] amidst the global anti-incumbent backlash.[7][8][9] In March 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled in Trump v. Anderson that Trump could seek office after challenges to his ballot eligibility were raised by several state attorneys general.[10]

JD Vance, a U.S. senator from Ohio, was selected as Trump's running mate[11] and subsequently elected vice president.

In addition, Republicans secured control of the Senate, flipping four seats and earning a three-seat majority, while also retaining a House majority, though the party's majority narrowed to three seats after losing two seats.[12]

Electoral system

The president and vice president of the United States are elected through the Electoral College, determined by the number of senators and representatives with an additional three representatives for Washington, D.C. A majority of 270 votes is needed to win the election. 48 states use a winner-take-all system, in which states award all of their electors to the winner of the popular vote. In Maine and Nebraska, two votes are allocated to the winner of the popular vote, while each of the individual congressional districts have one vote. Electoral votes are cast by state electors in December and are counted by Congress on January 6.[13] Presidential candidates are selected in a presidential primary, conducted through primary elections run by state governments or caucuses run by state parties which bind convention delegates to candidates.[14] A brokered convention occurs when a candidate does not receive a majority of votes on the first round of voting,[15] or when a candidate withdraws.[16]

Election Day in the United States is held on the first Tuesday that falls after the first Monday in November.[17] The 2028 presidential election will occur on November 7, 2028.

Eligibility

The United States Constitution limits occupancy of the presidency to individuals who are at least thirty-five, who have been a resident in the United States for at least fourteen years, and who are a natural-born citizen.[18] Section three of the Fourteenth Amendment prevents current and former federal, state, and military officials from holding office—including the presidency—if they have "engaged in insurrection or rebellion" against the United States.[19] A convicted felon may serve as president.[20] Incumbent president Trump, along with former presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama, are ineligible to be elected to a third term, as the Twenty-second Amendment prohibits any person from being elected president more than twice.[21]

Trump's suggestions on running for a third term

Trump meeting Democratic congressional leaders in September 2025, with Trump 2028 hats displayed

Since beginning his second term in January 2025, Trump has floated the possibility of seeking a third term. On October 27, 2025, when asked about a third term by a reporter on Air Force One, Trump said that he would "love to do it". Trump did rule out a run for vice president, stating that it "wouldn't be right". A hypothetical third term would give Trump four additional years as president after 2028, going through the 2032 United States presidential election, and ending on January 20, 2033;[22][23] however, the possibility of a third term is unconstitutional under the Twenty-second Amendment, barring all former and current presidents from seeking more than two terms in office. If Trump intends to have the amendment repealed, he would have to either require approval from two-thirds of both the House of Representatives and the Senate, or he would need a constitutional convention called by two-thirds of state legislatures, a process viewed by experts as extremely unlikely.[24][25]

Electoral map

This map shows how partisan states are by the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Swing states are the states in lighter colors.

Most US states are usually not highly competitive in presidential elections, often voting consistently for the same party due to longstanding demographic and ideological differences. In the Electoral College, this results in major-party candidates primarily focusing their campaigns on swing states, which can swing between parties from election to election. These states are critical for a presidential candidate's path to victory. For 2028, the expected swing states likely include the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, the Sun Belt states of Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina and the New England state of New Hampshire, with all except for New Hampshire having narrowly voted for Trump in 2024, with all except for North Carolina having narrowly voted for Joe Biden in 2020.[26][27][28] Other possible swing states include traditional Democratic strongholds that shifted toward Trump and were only narrowly won by Harris in 2024: New Jersey[29][30] and Minnesota;[31] though 2025 polls show a reversal of pro-Trump trends.[32]

States formerly considered swing states, such as Florida, Iowa, and Ohio, voted for Trump in all three of his previous election bids, as well as for Republican candidates in other state and federal elections, with increasing margins in each election and are now seen as solidly red states. Similarly, Maine's 2nd congressional district, which awards 1 electoral vote, has not voted Democratic in any statewide race since 2012 and is now considered a solid red district.[33][34][35][36] Former red or swing states that, since 2008, have consistently voted Democratic include Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia.[37] Due to its recent record of voting Democratic even during Republican national victories, Nebraska's 2nd congressional district has been called "the Blue Dot."[38][39]

Republican Party primaries

Declared

Candidate Born Experience State Announcement date Campaign Ref

Dan Greaney
(1964-09-28)September 28, 1964
(age 61)
Duxbury, Massachusetts
Television writer California May 26, 2026
FEC filing[40]
Website
[41]

Royce White
(1991-04-10)April 10, 1991
(age 35)
Minneapolis, Minnesota
Former NBA player Minnesota August 12, 2026 [42]

Exploratory committee

Candidate Born Experience State Exploratory committee
announced
Ref

Gregory Bovino
March 27, 1970
(age 56)
San Bernardino County, California
Commander-at-large of U.S. Border Patrol
(2025–2026)
California June 8, 2026 [43]

Expressed interest

Speculated by the media

Democratic Party primaries

Expressed interest

Speculated by the media

Third-party and independent candidates

Candidates

Formed exploratory committee

Candidate Born Experience State Party Exploratory committee
announced
Website Ref

Jo Jorgensen
May 1, 1957
(age 69)
Libertyville, Illinois
2020 Libertarian presidential nominee South Carolina Libertarian May 28, 2026 VoteJo28.com [44]
Jo Jorgensen

Jo Jorgensen is an academic and political activist who was the Libertarian Party's presidential nominee in the 2020 election. In May 2026, Jorgensen announced the formation of an exploratory committee to weigh a potential run for the 2028 Libertarian presidential nomination.[44][45]

Expressed interest

Afroman

Afroman is a rapper, singer and musician who ran as an independent presidential candidate in 2024. In an April 2026 interview with Reason magazine, he hinted at a possible run for the Libertarian Party's 2028 presidential nomination.[46][47]

Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang is a businessman and political activist who sought the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2020.[48] He later founded the Forward Party.[49] In an April 2026 interview with The New York Times, Yang said that he was "still bent out of shape" over the Democratic Party's treatment of former congressman Dean Phillips, who ran an unsuccessful campaign against Biden for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2024.[50] He stated in a June 2026 interview with Yahoo Finance that he was "willing to serve" and... "we'll have to see what 2028 holds."[51] In an August 2026 interview with Scripps News, Yang did not rule out another run for the White House in 2028 and said that "if there are pieces in place ... I'm still very, very much a patriot and want to do what I can for the country."[52]

Declined to be candidates

The following individuals have publicly denied interest in being a candidate:

Endorsements

Tucker Carlson (declined)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (declined)
Individuals

Timeline

Opinion polling

General election

Nationwide

JD Vance vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Kamala Harris
(D)
Undecided

Emerson College

August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 45% 49% 6%
Zogby July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 43% 48% 9%
TPSI May 21, 2026 893 (LV) 39% 47% 14%
Zogby January 1–7, 2026 891 (LV) 42.1% 48.5% 9.4%
Morning Consult November 14–16, 2025 2,201 (RV) 42% 43% 15%
Overton Insights June 23–26, 2025 1,200 (RV) 42% 45% 12%
January 20, 2025 Second inauguration of Donald Trump
On Point/SoCal Strategies December 23, 2024 656 (A) 41% 43% 16%
American Pulse Research & Polling December 17–20, 2024 661 (LV) 46% 47% 7%
JD Vance vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Gavin Newsom
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%

Zogby

July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 45% 38% 7%
Overton Insights May 16–20, 2026 1,377 (V) 39% 44% 9%
UMass Lowell March 26–30, 2026 1000 (RV)[j] 36% 33% 12%
Zogby January 1–7, 2026 891 (LV) 44.6% 41% 14.3%
The Argument/Verasight November 10–17, 2025 1,508 (RV) 46.4% 53.6%
Morning Consult November 14–16, 2025 2,201 (RV) 42% 41% 17%
Overton Insights October 27–29, 2025 1,200 (RV) 43% 46% 11%
YouGov October 16–20, 2025 1,000 (A) 32% 36% 32%
Echelon Insights October 16–20, 2025 1,010 (LV) 46% 47% 7%
Emerson College October 13–14, 2025 1,000 (RV) 45.5% 44.9% 9.6%
Leger360 August 29–31, 2025 849 (A) 46% 47% 7%
YouGov/Yahoo August 29 – September 2, 2025 1,690 (A) 41% 49% 10%
Emerson College August 25–26, 2025 1,000 (RV) 44.4% 43.5% 12.1%
On Point/SoCal Strategies August 18, 2025 700 (A) 37% 39% 23%
Emerson College July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (RV) 45.3% 42.1% 12.6%
January 20, 2025 Second inauguration of Donald Trump
On Point/SoCal Strategies December 23, 2024 656 (A) 37% 34% 29%
JD Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D)
Undecided
Quantus Insights August 26–28, 2026 1,200 (LV) 45% 42% 13%
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 46% 44% 11%
Zogby July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 45% 38% 7%
UMass Lowell March 26–30, 2026 1000 (RV)[k] 36% 33% 13%
Focaldata March 6–10, 2026 1,782 (A) 40% 43% 18%
The Argument/Verasight December 5–11, 2025 1,521 (RV) 49% 51%
YouGov October 16–20, 2025 1,000 (A) 34% 34% 32%
Emerson College July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (RV) 44.4% 41.0% 14.6%
JD Vance vs. Josh Shapiro
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Josh Shapiro
(D)
Undecided
On Point/SoCal Strategies December 23, 2024 656 (A) 37% 34% 29%
JD Vance vs. Stephen A. Smith
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Stephen A. Smith
(D)
Undecided
On Point/SoCal Strategies August 18, 2025 700 (A) 37% 35% 28%
JD Vance vs. Gretchen Whitmer
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Gretchen Whitmer
(D)
Undecided
On Point/SoCal Strategies December 23, 2024 656 (A) 40% 33% 26%
JD Vance vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Pete Buttigieg
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 8%
On Point/SoCal Strategies August 18, 2025 700 (A) 37% 41% 21%
Emerson College July 21–22, 2025 1,400 (RV) 43.9% 43.1% 13.0%
JD Vance vs. Jon Ossoff
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Jon Ossoff
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 44% 49% 7%
Marco Rubio vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Marco Rubio
(R)
Kamala Harris
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College[66] August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 48% 43% 9%
Zogby July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 41% 46% 13%
Morning Consult November 14–16, 2025 2,201 (RV) 40% 42% 18%
Marco Rubio vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Marco Rubio
(R)
Gavin Newsom
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 46% 48% 6%
Zogby July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 40% 36% 24%
Morning Consult November 14–16, 2025 2,201 (RV) 39% 41% 20%
Leger360 August 29–31, 2025 849 (A) 44% 49% 7%
Marco Rubio vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Marco Rubio
(R)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College[66] August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 48% 43% 8%
Zogby July 1–4, 2026 1,003 (LV) 39% 38% 23%
Marco Rubio vs. Jon Ossoff
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
Marco Rubio
(R)
Jon Ossoff
(D)
Undecided
Emerson College August 16–17, 2026 1,000 (LV) 44% 47% 9%

Statewide

Nevada
JD Vance vs. Gavin Newsom
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[i]
JD Vance
(R)
Gavin Newsom
(D)
Undecided
The Tarrance Group June 20–24, 2026 550 (LV) 47% 43% 10%

Notes

  1. Attributed to multiple sources:[1][2][3]
  2. Attributed to multiple sources:[4][5][6]
  3. Individuals listed below have, as of August 2026, personally expressed an interest in seeking the 2028 Republican Party presidential nomination in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  4. Individuals listed below have, as of August 2026, been mentioned as potential 2028 presidential candidates in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  5. Individuals listed below have, as of August 2026, personally expressed an interest in seeking the 2028 Democratic Party presidential nomination in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  6. Individuals listed below have, as of August 2026, been mentioned as potential 2028 presidential candidates in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  7. Individuals listed below have, as of June 2026, personally expressed an interest in running for president in 2028 in at least two reliable media sources in the last six months.
  8. Sinema was a registered Democrat until 2022, at which point she changed her registration to independent, and continued to caucus with the Senate Democrats.
  9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  10. Another candidate 2%, Not vote 17%
  11. Another candidate 2%, Not vote 16%

References

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  3. Robinson, Simon (December 23, 2024). "Inflation, elections and war dominated 2024". Reuters. Retrieved March 15, 2025.
  4. Jordan, Miriai (November 6, 2024). "Voters Were Fed Up Over Immigration. They Voted for Trump". The New York Times. Retrieved March 15, 2025.
  5. Tesler, Michael (November 20, 2024). "How immigration swung voters of color to Trump". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on November 20, 2024. Retrieved March 15, 2025 via ABC News.
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