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Billionaire tax rejected on concern punishing the ultra-rich would hurt California’s economy

People hold signs reading "No on 40" and "Protect Our Jobs."
A November rally against Proposition 40 at the Iron Workers Apprenticeship Training Center in La Palma.
(Eric Thayer / Los Angeles Times)
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  • California voters rejected Proposition 40, a proposed one-time 5% tax on billionaires’ assets to offset federal healthcare cuts, with 53% voting no and 47% in favor.
  • The measure found support in Los Angeles and San Francisco but lost statewide amid warnings it could drive wealthy residents away and damage California’s economy.
  • Competing ballot campaigns spent more than $400 million; supporters vow to revisit the tax.

California voters have rejected the controversial billionaire tax.

Proposition 40 sought to impose a one-time 5% tax on California billionaires’ assets to try to offset federal healthcare funding cuts. The novel tax on the ultra-wealthy had trailed from the first day of vote counting and was officially rejected on Monday night.

Prop 40, which would tax the assets of California billionaires to mostly fund healthcare, has divided Democratic politicians, labor unions and other groups.

Even as a blue wave washed across the country in the midterm election, the new tax failed to spark enough support in one of the most liberal states.

Opponents of the wealth tax used their much larger war chest of campaign spending to flood television, radio and smartphones with ads. In a state that hasn’t been shy about voting in new taxes in the past, voters heard their message: the wealth tax is a reckless experiment and a tax on everyone, not just billionaires.

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Roughly 53% of Californians voted against the measure, while 47% supported it, the Associated Press said when it declared that the proposition had failed.

Although the billionaire tax was rejected in the vast majority of counties, the late tally showed major pockets of support in Los Angeles and San Francisco — home to the lion’s share of the state’s 200 billionaires. Orange County, however, voted no by a wide margin.

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The political battle over the ballot measure and two competing proposals divided the state and was among the most expensive in California history. More than $400 million had been spent on the three intertwined ballot measures, with more than 90% spent opposing the billionaire tax, according to fundraising disclosures filed with the secretary of state’s office.

Billionaires, notably Google co-founder Sergey Brin, poured hundreds of millions of dollars into groups that funded ads to kill the billionaire tax. Gov. Gavin Newsom, the California Teachers Assn. and Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California are among the powerful Democrats and other Democrat-aligned groups expressing fears that billionaires would flee the state.

A new UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times poll finds 50% of likely voters oppose Proposition 40’s one-time billionaire tax, as support has faded amid a heavily funded campaign against it.

Some, including Brin and fellow Google co-founder Larry Page, moved out of California because of the proposal.

An onslaught of advertisements against the billionaire tax argued it could impact all Californians, not just the ultra-wealthy. Teachers, firefighters and other middle-class Californians became the face of their campaigns, fueling growing opposition ahead of election day.

Campaigns supporting and opposing the billionaire tax proposal are paying social media influencers, some with millions of followers, to post videos to inform and sway voters.

Opponents of Proposition 40 said Californians made the “right decision,” calling the measure a “reckless experiment” that would hurt the state’s economy. The group included the California Medical Assn., California Primary Care Assn. and the California School Boards Assn.

“Proposition 40 risked California’s economic competitiveness and fiscal stability, as well as the revenue we rely on to fund our top priorities — from education and healthcare to public safety and infrastructure,” the group said.

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In one of the most expensive ballot fights in California history, opponents heavily outspent supporters of a billionaire tax to mostly fund healthcare. On Wednesday, the wealth tax appeared headed for defeat though results on Proposition 40 were too close to call.

Leaders of the Service Employees International Union-United Healthcare Workers West, which sponsored the proposition, vowed to put a billionaire tax proposal on the 2028 ballot if Sacramento leaders don’t find a way to better support the public health sector. Given California’s volatile budget, which is expected to be particularly problematic next year, it appears unlikely that state lawmakers will find a way to backfill an estimated $100 billion of federal healthcare funding cuts.

Supporters said the proposed tax on more than 200 California billionaires aimed to raise that amount, with 90% funding healthcare, and the remainder going to schools and food assistance.

The union leader behind California’s proposed billionaire tax was in talks with Gov. Gavin Newsom to take it off the ballot.

“Billionaire-funded propaganda may have influenced the outcome of this election, but as hospitals reduce services, emergency rooms close and families lose access to care, the truth will become increasingly difficult to hide,” said Suzanne Jimenez, chief of staff for the SEIU-UHW. “Californians will see for themselves what was at stake.”

This will not be the end of the debate about taxing the rich. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Fremont), who both backed Proposition 40, are pushing for the passage of a federal 5% tax on American billionaires.

Earlier this year, they introduced the “Make Billionaires Pay Their Fair Share Act.” Despite Democrats winning control of the House and Senate last week, the legislation will probably face constitutional challenges if it passes.

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