Advertisement

2026 Emmy predictions: best supporting actor, drama

photo collage of supporting actors in drama series
(Los Angeles Times photo illustration; Photos by HBO)
0:00 0:00

This is read by an automated voice. Please report any issues or inconsistencies here.

See more from the L.A. Times in Google Search. Set us as preferred

The panel nailed the eventual nominees with its top seven picks in Round 1, but considers this one of the closest races in Round 2. Only 2 points separate the Top 2 (Tom Pelphrey and Patrick Ball), and the next three (Shawn Hatosy, Carlos-Manuel Vesga, Gerran Howell) are within 7 points of each other. With three of those five from the same show (“The Pitt”), vote-splitting is a strong possibility.

“This is one race without a definitive frontrunner for me,” says Tracy Brown, who picks Ball while admitting “my favorite [among the ‘Pitt’ nominees] is Gerran Howell’s young Dr. Dennis Whitaker.”

“At the Alternate Emmys, where only things I love win, Carlos-Manuel Vesga receives this,” says Lorraine Ali. She praises the actor’s ability to communicate so much with so little dialogue, calling him “a master of the understated.”

Advertisement

But it’s Pelphrey who gets the most support from the panel. Glenn Whipp calls him “brilliant as the desperate single dad in ‘Task.’” Kristen Baldwin writes, “Here’s hoping ‘The Pitt’ avalanche doesn’t overshadow Tom Pelphrey’s beautiful, bittersweet turn.”

“Tom Pelphrey’s powerful turn … feels far removed from where we are in the season now,” says Trey Mangum. “But it was so great that, combined with [a possible ‘Pitt’ split], I’m confident Pelphrey will prevail.”

More predictions: drama series | drama actress | drama actor | drama supp. actress

1. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
4. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
5. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

line drawing of a woman

Los Angeles Times

Lorraine Ali

1. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
4. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
5. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

“At the Alternate Emmys, where only things I love win, Carlos-Manuel Vesga receives this for his performance as one of the last free-thinking souls on Earth. The Colombian actor, who played a Paraguayan self-storage manager facing end times, spoke volumes while barely uttering a word. A master of the understated.”

Freelance Critic

Kristen Baldwin

1. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
4. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
5. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

“Here’s hoping ‘The Pitt’ avalanche doesn’t overshadow Tom Pelphrey’s beautiful, bittersweet turn as ‘Task’s’ Robbie Prendergrast, a small-time criminal looking to avenge his brother’s murder. The also-excellent men of ‘The Pitt’ will likely have other shots at Emmys, while Pelphrey’s character — 9-month-old spoiler alert — did not survive the season.”

Los Angeles Times

Tracy Brown

1. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
2. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
3. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
4. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
5. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

“This is one race without a definitive frontrunner for me. Will ‘The Pitt’s’ overall momentum give a boost to one of its nominees? I’m giving the edge to Patrick Ball, who plays the troubled but charming Dr. Frank Langdon. But my favorite is Gerran Howell’s young Dr. Dennis Whitaker.”

Blavity

Trey Mangum

1. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
4. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
5. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
6. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”
7. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”

“Tom Pelphrey’s powerful turn in HBO’s ‘Task’ feels far removed from where we are in the season now. But it was so great that, combined with the possibility that the guys from ‘The Pitt’ may cancel each other out, I’m confident Pelphrey will prevail.”

TV Insider

Matt Roush

1. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
4. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
5. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
6. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

“Going with heart over head that voters will recognize Tom Pelphrey as ‘Task’s’ tragic soul. (He was also great in ‘Ozark.’) It’s just as likely that a sweep for ‘The Pitt’ will be good news for Patrick Ball, Shawn Hatosy or Gerran Howell, who all got moments to shine.”

line drawing of a man on a white circle

Los Angeles Times

Glenn Whipp

1. Tom Pelphrey, “Task”
2. Patrick Ball, “The Pitt”
3. Shawn Hatosy, “The Pitt”
4. Carlos-Manuel Vesga, “Pluribus”
5. Gerran Howell, “The Pitt”
6. Jack Lowden, “Slow Horses”
7. Billy Crudup, “The Morning Show”

“Like supporting actress, this category is loaded with nominees from ‘The Pitt’ — but without a clear front-runner like Katherine LaNasa. That might open the door for Tom Pelphrey, brilliant as the desperate single dad in ‘Task.’”

Sign up for The Envelope

Get exclusive awards season news, in-depth interviews and columnist Glenn Whipp’s must-read analysis straight to your inbox.

Advertisement